Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
97% | 3% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
97% | 3% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 176.5 | 97% |
| O/U 179.5 | 96% |
| O/U 178.5 | 96% |
| O/U 180.5 | 95% |
| O/U 177.5 | 85% |
| Spread -1.5 | 84% |
| Nneka Ogwumike: Assists O/U 2.5 | 75% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | 63% |
| Nneka Ogwumike: Points O/U 17.5 | 51% |
| Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5 | 51% |
| Sydney Taylor: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Kamilla Cardoso: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Dearica Hamby: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Nneka Ogwumike: Rebounds O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Erica Wheeler: Assists O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Dearica Hamby: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Assists O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Azurá Stevens: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Dearica Hamby: Points O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks | 11% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 97% probability to chicago sky vs. los angeles sparks. In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 10 at 10:00PM ET: If the Chicago Sky win, the market will resolve to "Chicago Sky". If the Los Angeles Sparks win, the market will resolve to "Los Angeles…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $432K.
Methodology
We track Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →