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Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 1 O/U 8.5 60% Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set Handicap +/-1.5 56% Completed Match 50% Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 2 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $80K Closes: 22 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
60% 40% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
60% 40% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 1 O/U 8.560%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set Handicap +/-1.556%
Completed Match50%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 2 Winner49%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Match O/U 21.544%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Match O/U 22.539%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 1 Winner37%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Match O/U 23.537%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Total Sets: O/U 2.533%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic23%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set 1 O/U 10.523%
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic Set Handicap +/-1.510%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, cincinnati open: lois boisson vs belinda bencic stands at 60% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Lois Boisson and Belinda Bencic in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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