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US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech

Five-platform snapshot of "US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech 73% US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set Handicap +/-1.5 68% Volume: $58K Liquidity: $11K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech73%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set Handicap +/-1.568%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 Winner60%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 Winner56%
Completed Match50%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Game Spread +/-4.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 21.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 22.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech Match O/U 23.550%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open wta: iva jovic vs magdalena frech. This market refers to the tennis match between Iva Jovic and Magdalena Frech in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iva Jovic' if Iva…

Methodology

We track US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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