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Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 2 O/U 8.5 75% Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 2 O/U 9.5 75% Completed Match 50% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $224K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 2 O/U 8.575%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 2 O/U 9.575%
Completed Match50%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 2 Winner50%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Match O/U 21.550%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Match O/U 22.550%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Match O/U 23.550%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez12%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 1 Winner0%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to warsaw: elena micic vs veronika podrez. This market refers to the tennis match between Elena Micic and Veronika Podrez in the Warsaw, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elena Micic' if Elena …

Methodology

We track Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Warsaw: Elena Micic vs Veronika Podrez on PolyGram

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Related Topics

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