Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang Game Spread +/-2.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of jingshan: amelia rajecki vs yuhan wang. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Amelia Rajecki and Yuhan Wang in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve t…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Jingshan: Amelia Rajecki vs Yuhan Wang on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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