Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Match O/U 22.5 | 99% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Match O/U 21.5 | 90% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Match O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| Completed Match | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva | 9% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 2% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 1% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 2 Winner | 1% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 1% |
| US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 1% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open wta: maria sakkari vs yulia starodubtseva stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Sakkari and Yulia Starodubtseva in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will…
Methodology
This page reviews US Open WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Yulia Starodubtseva across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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