Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano | 100% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Match O/U 21.5 | 99% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Match O/U 22.5 | 99% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 96% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 51% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosano Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, itf m25 oviedo men: alejandro garcia carbajal vs javier barranco cosano stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Garcia Carbajal and Javier Barranco Cosano in the ITF M25 Oviedo Men, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Jav… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →