Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Vissel Kōbe O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Vissel Kōbe 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Avispa Fukuoka (-1.5) | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe (-1.5) | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka (-2.5) | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Avispa Fukuoka 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Vissel Kōbe 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Avispa Fukuoka are due to face Vissel Kōbe in the J1 League, and Polymarket is pricing this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES** on the current crowd-implied view, with settlement tied to which extra market labels are ultimately available on the match card. On Polymarket, this is a USDC contract on Polygon, so traders are effectively voting on the on-chain market definition rather than the scoreline itself.
The 0% reading fits the match history and the way these side markets are usually framed: the clubs have repeatedly produced tight, low-margin games, including Vissel’s 1-0 win in May 2026 and a 2-1 win in February 2026. Head-to-head data also point to Vissel holding the clearer edge overall, with FotMob listing 11 wins to Avispa’s 3 and 6 draws, which helps explain why the market has little appetite to assign value to an unspecified “more markets” outcome at this stage.[2][6][15][17]
For traders, the main catalysts are the official match-centre postings, line-up news, and any last-minute schedule or venue confirmations before the 10:00 UTC kick-off at Best Denki Stadium. Because these contracts settle off defined market outcomes, the relevant dependency is not just the result in Fukuoka but whether the listed market set is published and finalised by the exchange; that is where changes in Polymarket pricing are most likely to come from.
Methodology
This page reviews Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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