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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 90% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5 74% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 72% O/U 1.5 68% Volume: $69K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.590%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.574%
2nd Half O/U 0.572%
O/U 1.568%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 0.564%
1st Half O/U 0.563%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Both Teams to Score49%
Deportivo Alavés 2nd Half O/U 0.544%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 0.543%
O/U 2.540%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.538%
2nd Half O/U 1.537%
Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 0.535%
1st Half O/U 1.526%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 1.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
O/U 3.520%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)19%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2nd Half O/U 1.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half16%
2nd Half O/U 2.515%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.513%
Deportivo Alavés 2nd Half O/U 1.512%
Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)10%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1st Half O/U 1.510%
O/U 4.58%
1st Half O/U 2.58%
Deportivo Alavés O/U 2.58%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)7%
Deportivo Alavés 1st Half O/U 1.57%
O/U 5.53%
Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)2%

Market context

Market consensus: 90% chance of rayo vallecano de madrid vs. deportivo alavés - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 20 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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