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Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 82% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% Villarreal CF O/U 0.5 75% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 62% Volume: $368K Liquidity: $790K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
Villarreal CF O/U 0.575%
2nd Half O/U 1.562%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half57%
Elche CF (-4.5)50%
Elche CF (-5.5)50%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Elche CF 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Elche CF 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Elche CF 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Elche CF 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Elche CF 2nd Half (-2.5)50%
Elche CF O/U 4.549%
Elche CF O/U 5.549%
Villarreal CF 2nd Half (-1.5)49%
O/U 1.548%
Elche CF 2nd Half (-1.5)45%
Elche CF O/U 2.543%
Villarreal CF (-5.5)42%
Villarreal CF (-4.5)41%
Villarreal CF O/U 1.537%
2nd Half O/U 2.530%
Elche CF O/U 0.529%
Villarreal CF (-1.5)28%
2nd Half O/U 3.528%
Villarreal CF O/U 2.525%
Villarreal CF O/U 5.525%
Villarreal CF O/U 4.524%
O/U 2.522%
Both Teams to Score22%
Elche CF O/U 3.522%
Elche CF O/U 1.519%
2nd Half O/U 4.519%
Villarreal CF O/U 3.513%
Villarreal CF (-2.5)10%
O/U 3.58%
Villarreal CF (-3.5)4%
O/U 4.52%
Elche CF (-1.5)1%
Elche CF (-2.5)0%
Elche CF (-3.5)0%
O/U 5.50%
O/U 6.50%
O/U 7.50%
O/U 8.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 0.50%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
1st Half O/U 3.50%
1st Half O/U 4.50%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Villarreal CF 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Elche CF 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Elche CF 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Elche CF 1st Half O/U 2.50%
Elche CF 1st Half O/U 3.50%
Villarreal CF 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Villarreal CF 1st Half (-2.5)0%
Elche CF 1st Half (-1.5)0%
Elche CF 1st Half (-2.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 82% YES probability for Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF - More Markets. More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for October 17 at 10:15 AM ET.

Methodology

We track Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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