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Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

SE Palmeiras 51% Draw 33% Club Cerro Porteño 17% Volume: $221K Liquidity: $254K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
SE Palmeiras51%
Draw33%
Club Cerro Porteño17%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras. This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 19, 2026 between Club Cerro Porteño and SE Palmeiras.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices SE Palmeiras at 51% for "Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras".

SE Palmeiras 51% Other 49%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $221K.

Methodology

This page reviews Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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