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LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? 76% Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? 76% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor 52% Volume: $121K Liquidity: $261K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?76%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?76%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor52%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Game 1 Winner49%
Game 2 Winner49%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Match Winner47%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?47%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?46%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon42%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)28%

Market context

Market consensus: 76% chance of lol: dplus kia vs t1 (bo3) - lck round 3-4 legend group. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Dplus KIA and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dplus K…

Methodology

We track LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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