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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 68% Game 1 Winner 64% Game 2 Winner 62% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 56% Volume: $118K Liquidity: $528K Closes: 6 Aug 2026
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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner68%
Game 1 Winner64%
Game 2 Winner62%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?56%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?42%
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)41%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?40%

Market context

The LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group prediction market currently prices this outcome at 68% YES. This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and DN SOOPers in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoo…

Methodology

We track LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
and

Trade LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 … on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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