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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 3.5 Games 73% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? 73% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? 73% Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? 72% Volume: $180K Liquidity: $587K Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 3.5 Games73%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?73%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?73%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?72%
Match Winner68%
Game 1 Winner60%
Game 2 Winner60%
Game 3 Winner60%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?56%
Game 4 Winner50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)49%
O/U 4.5 Games34%
Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)21%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 73% YES probability for LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs. This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between BNK FEARX and Team WE in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

We track LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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