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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 83% Game 1 Winner 70% Game 2 Winner 70% Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) 70% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $389K Closes: 26 Sept 2026
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LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 83% 17% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 83% 17% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner83%
Game 1 Winner70%
Game 2 Winner70%
Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)70%
Game 3 Winner69%
Game 4 Winner62%
O/U 3.5 Games61%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?58%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?56%
Odd/Even Total Kills54%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?54%
Odd/Even Total Kills53%
Any Player Quadra Kill52%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
First Blood in Game 4?51%
First Blood in Game 3?51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?50%
Odd/Even Total Kills48%
Odd/Even Total Kills47%
Odd/Even Total Kills46%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?41%
Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs RED Canids (+2.5)39%
First Blood in Game 1?36%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
Any Player Penta Kill26%
O/U 4.5 Games25%

Market context

Market consensus: 83% chance of lol: furia esports vs red canids (bo5) - cblol playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between FURIA Esports and RED Canids in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. …

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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