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LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5) 100% Volume: $284K Liquidity: $561K Closes: 19 Aug 2026
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LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)100%
Odd/Even Total Kills90%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon90%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Any Player Quadra Kill50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor10%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors10%
Odd/Even Total Kills10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%

Market context

The LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Galions and Karmine Corp Blue in the LFL Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

We track LoL: Galions vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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