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LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Five-platform snapshot of "LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Both Teams Slay a Dragon 81% Both Teams Slay a Dragon 79% Match Winner 56% Game 1 Winner 55% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $213K Closes: 21 Aug 2026
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LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
81% 19% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
81% 19% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Both Teams Slay a Dragon81%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon79%
Match Winner56%
Game 1 Winner55%
Game 2 Winner55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?55%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?55%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor54%
Any Player Quadra Kill54%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors53%
First Blood in Game 2?52%
Any Player Penta Kill51%
First Blood in Game 1?51%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
O/U 2.5 Games48%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?42%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?42%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon40%
Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)30%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Quadra Kill28%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Any Player Penta Kill25%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor13%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors8%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team vitality vs natus vincere (bo3) - lec regular season stands at 81% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Team Vitality and Natus Vincere in the LEC Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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