Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
64% | 36% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
64% | 36% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 64% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 63% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 61% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 60% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 60% |
| Match Winner | 59% |
| Game 1 Winner | 56% |
| Game 2 Winner | 56% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 53% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 49% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 48% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 46% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 35% |
| Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | 32% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 32% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 32% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 29% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 29% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 27% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 25% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 25% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, lol: team we vs lgd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend stands at 64% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tea…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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