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FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 100% 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Club Puebla O/U 0.5 100% Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5 100% Volume: $143K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Club Puebla O/U 0.5100%
Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC Juárez (-1.5)0%
Club Puebla (-1.5)0%
FC Juárez (-2.5)0%
Club Puebla (-2.5)0%
O/U 1.50%
O/U 2.50%
O/U 3.50%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez O/U 1.50%
FC Juárez O/U 2.50%
Club Puebla O/U 1.50%
Club Puebla O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half0%
2nd Half O/U 0.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
FC Juárez 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
Club Puebla 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Club Puebla 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

FC Juárez will travel to Puebla for a Liga MX fixture on 17 July at 23:00 ET, with settlement occurring the following morning. Polymarket currently prices this contract at zero, reflecting minimal trading activity or conviction around whatever secondary market condition the "More Markets" descriptor captures—likely a specific scoreline, player performance metric, or booking threshold rather than a simple match outcome. The zero price suggests either illiquidity in this particular conditional token or genuine scarcity of demand among traders holding USDC on Polygon.

Historical Liga MX secondary markets have shown volatile pricing when tied to specific match events rather than outright results. Comparable conditional tokens on Polymarket—those settling on exact goal tallies or card counts in Mexican league fixtures—typically remain illiquid until 48 hours before kickoff, when trading clusters around available information. Juárez and Puebla occupy mid-table positions in the 2025–26 season, neither commanding the betting volume that Clásicos generate, which partly explains the dormant pricing here.

Traders should monitor team news releases and official Liga MX scheduling confirmations through mid-July, as fixture postponements or venue changes occasionally occur in Mexican football. Injury announcements for key players will influence the specific market condition being priced. The settlement window closes at 03:00 UTC on 18 July, allowing roughly four hours post-match for event verification before conditional token redemption processes on-chain.

Methodology

This page reviews FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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