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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Live odds for "Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

NRFI 100% O/U 8.5 100% 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 100% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $387K Liquidity: $129K Closes: 3 Oct 2026
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Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NRFI100%
O/U 8.5100%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5100%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5100%
Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5100%
Atlanta Braves O/U 3.5100%
Atlanta Braves O/U 4.5100%
Atlanta Braves O/U 5.5100%
Miami Marlins O/U 1.5100%
Miami Marlins O/U 2.5100%
O/U 7.5100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins95%
Spread -1.588%
Spread -2.573%
O/U 9.563%
O/U 12.555%
Extra Innings50%
Atlanta Braves O/U 6.550%
Miami Marlins O/U 3.550%
Miami Marlins O/U 4.550%
Miami Marlins O/U 5.550%
Spread -5.550%
Spread -6.550%
O/U 10.538%
Spread -3.531%
O/U 11.523%
Spread -4.516%
Spread -1.53%
Spread -2.51%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, atlanta braves vs. miami marlins stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 26 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices NRFI at 100% for "Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins".

NRFI 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $387K.

Methodology

We track Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports