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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Five-platform snapshot of "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

New York Yankees O/U 1.5 76% Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.5 75% 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 64% O/U 5.5 59% Volume: $419K Liquidity: $863K Closes: 2 Oct 2026
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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
New York Yankees O/U 1.576%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.575%
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.564%
O/U 5.559%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.559%
New York Yankees O/U 2.559%
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees51%
O/U 6.551%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.551%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 0.550%
New York Yankees O/U 5.550%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.544%
New York Yankees O/U 3.543%
O/U 7.539%
NRFI38%
Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.536%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.535%
Spread -1.531%
Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.531%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.531%
New York Yankees O/U 4.529%
Spread -2.526%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.526%
Spread -2.522%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.522%
Extra Innings12%

Market context

The Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction market currently prices this outcome at 76% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices New York Yankees O/U 1.5 at 76% for "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees".

New York Yankees O/U 1.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $419K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

Sports