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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 72% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 59% O/U 7.5 50% Extra Innings 50% Volume: $189K Liquidity: $643K Closes: 5 Sept 2026
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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
72% 28% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
72% 28% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.572%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.559%
O/U 7.550%
Extra Innings50%
NRFI46%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees45%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.544%
O/U 8.543%
Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.533%
Spread -1.533%
O/U 9.533%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.532%
Spread -2.527%
Spread -2.524%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.522%

Market context

The Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees prediction market currently prices this outcome at 72% YES. In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees, scheduled for August 29 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. This …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 72% for "Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 72% Other 28%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $189K.

Methodology

This page reviews Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports