Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
77% | 23% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
77% | 23% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 77% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 64% |
| O/U 7.5 | 60% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 54% |
| Spread -1.5 | 53% |
| O/U 8.5 | 52% |
| NRFI | 50% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 41% |
| O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | 32% |
| 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -1.5 | 23% |
| 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 18% |
| Spread -2.5 | 14% |
| Extra Innings | 8% |
Market context
Market consensus: 77% chance of colorado rockies vs. milwaukee brewers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers, scheduled for July 24 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Roc…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $56K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →