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Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Five-platform snapshot of "Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% O/U 6.5 64% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 60% O/U 7.5 51% Volume: $172K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 8 Aug 2026
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Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.574%
O/U 6.564%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.560%
O/U 7.551%
NRFI50%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.546%
Spread -1.543%
O/U 8.543%
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays40%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.537%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.536%
Spread -2.532%
Spread -1.528%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.525%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.521%
Spread -2.520%
Extra Innings8%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 74% probability to chicago white sox vs. tampa bay rays. In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for August 1 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game. …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 74% for "Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $172K.

Methodology

This page reviews Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

Sports