🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen the market →

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Five-platform snapshot of "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 71% 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 59% O/U 8.5 59% Volume: $281K Liquidity: $1.1M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
Open live market →
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
82% 18% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
82% 18% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.582%
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.571%
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.559%
O/U 8.559%
NRFI55%
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.549%
Spread -1.548%
O/U 9.547%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.544%
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.537%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers36%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.529%
1st 5 Innings Spread -1.523%
1st 5 Innings Spread -2.511%
Extra Innings10%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 82% probability to san diego padres vs. los angeles dodgers. In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for July 2 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 82% for "San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers".

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $281K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports