Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Clippers O/U 97.5 | 82% |
| Clippers O/U 98.5 | 79% |
| Lakers O/U 108.5 | 78% |
| Lakers O/U 113.5 | 78% |
| Clippers O/U 99.5 | 76% |
| Spread -1.5 | 75% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 75% |
| Lakers O/U 109.5 | 75% |
| 1H O/U 102.5 | 74% |
| Spread -2.5 | 71% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 53.5 | 69% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 48.5 | 69% |
| Clippers O/U 102.5 | 69% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5 | 67% |
| Spread -4.5 | 66% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 9.5 | 65% |
| Clippers O/U 103.5 | 65% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 64% |
| Spread -5.5 | 63% |
| Clippers O/U 104.5 | 63% |
| 1H O/U 106.5 | 62% |
| Lakers O/U 114.5 | 61% |
| 4Q O/U 53.5 | 60% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 55.5 | 60% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 50.5 | 60% |
| Spread -6.5 | 59% |
| O/U 222.5 | 57% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 57% |
| Spread -7.5 | 56% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 14.5 | 56% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 5.5 | 54% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 16.5 | 53% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 53% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 1.5 | 52% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 52% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 14.5 | 52% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 4.5 | 52% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 57.5 | 52% |
| Clippers O/U 107.5 | 52% |
| O/U 225.5 | 51% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 9.5 | 51% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Clippers O/U 108.5 | 51% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Team to Score First | 50% |
| Odd/Even Score | 50% |
| Overtime? | 50% |
| Race to 10 | 50% |
| Race to 20 | 50% |
| Race to 30 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Austin Reaves: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Darius Garland: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Kris Dunn: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Luka Dončić: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: Steals O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Brook Lopez: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Walker Kessler: Blocks O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Ziaire Williams: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 60.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 56.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 52.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 58.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 49.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 53.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Clippers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 57.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 59.5 | 50% |
| Lakers 2H O/U 61.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 110.5 | 49% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 49% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -9.5 | 48% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 24.5 | 48% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 48% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 48% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 48% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 48% |
| O/U 226.5 | 48% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 17.5 | 47% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 227.5 | 47% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| Lakers O/U 118.5 | 47% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 14.5 | 46% |
| Clippers O/U 109.5 | 46% |
| O/U 228.5 | 45% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 45% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Spread -10.5 | 44% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 44% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 24.5 | 44% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 17.5 | 44% |
| O/U 229.5 | 44% |
| 3Q O/U 59.5 | 44% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 43% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 7.5 | 43% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 43% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 14.5 | 43% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 4.5 | 43% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 43% |
| Lakers O/U 119.5 | 43% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| 4Q O/U 57.5 | 42% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 54.5 | 41% |
| O/U 231.5 | 40% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 5.5 | 40% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 3.5 | 40% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 40% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 40% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 59.5 | 40% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 19.5 | 39% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 39% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 14.5 | 39% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 39% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -12.5 | 38% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Walker Kessler: Assists O/U 2.5 | 38% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 38% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 9.5 | 37% |
| Clippers O/U 112.5 | 37% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 36% |
| 1H O/U 114.5 | 36% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 35% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 14.5 | 35% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| O/U 233.5 | 34% |
| Darius Garland: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 34% |
| Kris Dunn: Points O/U 9.5 | 34% |
| Clippers O/U 113.5 | 34% |
| O/U 234.5 | 33% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 29.5 | 33% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 33% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 33% |
| Lakers 1H O/U 61.5 | 33% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Points O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 32% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Lakers O/U 123.5 | 32% |
| Clippers 1H O/U 56.5 | 32% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5 | 31% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5 | 31% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 31% |
| Ziaire Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5 | 31% |
| Spread -15.5 | 30% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Points O/U 9.5 | 30% |
| Kris Dunn: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 30% |
| Clippers O/U 114.5 | 30% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Derrick Jones Jr.: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 29% |
| O/U 236.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 10.5 | 28% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 25.5 | 28% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 12.5 | 28% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 14.5 | 28% |
| 1H Moneyline | 28% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 3.5 | 28% |
| Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 2.5 | 28% |
| Matisse Thybulle: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 27% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 14.5 | 27% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Lakers O/U 124.5 | 27% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 26% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| Isaiah Jackson: Points O/U 9.5 | 26% |
| 1H O/U 118.5 | 26% |
| O/U 238.5 | 25% |
| O/U 239.5 | 25% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 44.5 | 25% |
| Keaton Wagler: Rebounds O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| Keaton Wagler: Assists O/U 4.5 | 25% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | 24% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 9.5 | 24% |
| Rui Hachimura: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 24% |
| Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5 | 23% |
| 4Q O/U 59.5 | 23% |
| Spread -18.5 | 22% |
| O/U 241.5 | 22% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 34.5 | 22% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 22% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 22% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 14.5 | 22% |
| Ziaire Williams: Points O/U 9.5 | 22% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 21% |
| Clippers O/U 118.5 | 21% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 5.5 | 20% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 39.5 | 20% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 19% |
| Keaton Wagler: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 19% |
| Spread -3.5 | 18% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 49.5 | 18% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 13.5 | 18% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 29.5 | 18% |
| Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Lakers O/U 128.5 | 18% |
| Clippers O/U 119.5 | 18% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 29.5 | 17% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 24.5 | 17% |
| Brook Lopez: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 17% |
| O/U 244.5 | 16% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| O/U 247.5 | 14% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 9.5 | 14% |
| Darius Garland: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 14% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 14% |
| Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Lakers O/U 129.5 | 14% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 29.5 | 13% |
| Austin Reaves: Points O/U 34.5 | 13% |
| Luka Dončić: Points O/U 39.5 | 13% |
| Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 13% |
| Spread -6.5 | 12% |
| Austin Reaves: Assists O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.5 | 12% |
| Luka Dončić: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 12% |
| Quentin Grimes: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.5 | 12% |
| Walker Kessler: Rebounds O/U 15.5 | 11% |
| Darius Garland: Points O/U 34.5 | 11% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| O/U 250.5 | 10% |
| Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 11.5 | 10% |
| Keaton Wagler: Points O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 14.5 | 10% |
| Austin Reaves: Rebounds O/U 7.5 | 9% |
| Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 11.5 | 9% |
| Rui Hachimura: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 9% |
| Austin Reaves: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.5 | 8% |
| Darius Garland: Assists O/U 11.5 | 8% |
| Brook Lopez: Points O/U 19.5 | 8% |
| Spread -9.5 | 7% |
| Walker Kessler: Points O/U 24.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 82% chance of clippers vs. lakers. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00PM ET: If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to "Clippers". If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers"…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $179K.
Methodology
We track Clippers vs. Lakers across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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