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Wizards vs. Bulls

Five-platform snapshot of "Wizards vs. Bulls" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 213.5 96% O/U 215.5 95% O/U 217.5 94% O/U 219.5 93% Volume: $226K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 25 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Wizards vs. Bulls

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 213.596%
O/U 215.595%
O/U 217.594%
O/U 219.593%
O/U 221.591%
O/U 223.588%
O/U 225.585%
Bulls O/U 110.584%
O/U 227.583%
Wizards O/U 110.583%
O/U 229.580%
Bulls O/U 112.579%
Wizards O/U 112.579%
O/U 230.578%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 1.578%
O/U 231.576%
Bulls O/U 114.574%
Wizards O/U 114.574%
O/U 233.573%
1H O/U 115.572%
1H O/U 111.571%
1H O/U 109.570%
1H O/U 117.570%
O/U 235.569%
1H O/U 113.569%
Bulls O/U 116.569%
1Q O/U 57.568%
Wizards O/U 116.568%
1Q O/U 59.567%
O/U 236.566%
O/U 237.565%
Bulls O/U 118.563%
O/U 238.562%
1H O/U 121.561%
Wizards O/U 118.561%
O/U 239.560%
1H O/U 119.560%
Bulls O/U 120.557%
O/U 241.556%
1H O/U 123.556%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 5.555%
Wizards O/U 120.555%
O/U 242.554%
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 1.553%
1Q O/U 51.553%
1Q O/U 53.553%
1Q O/U 55.553%
O/U 243.552%
1Q O/U 61.552%
1H Moneyline51%
Norman Powell: Steals O/U 2.551%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 7.551%
2Q O/U 61.551%
Team to Score First50%
Odd/Even Score50%
Overtime?50%
Race to 1050%
Race to 2050%
Race to 3050%
Spread -1.550%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 9.550%
Trae Young: Points O/U 9.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 5.550%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 3.550%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 5.550%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 0.550%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 1.550%
Trae Young: Steals O/U 2.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Anthony Davis: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 9.550%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.550%
Norman Powell: Steals O/U 0.550%
Norman Powell: Steals O/U 1.550%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 14.550%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 1.550%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 3.550%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.550%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.550%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.550%
Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 0.550%
Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 1.550%
Josh Giddey: Steals O/U 2.550%
Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Matas Buzelis: Blocks O/U 2.550%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 1.550%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.550%
Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 0.550%
Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 1.550%
Jalen Smith: Blocks O/U 2.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -6.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q O/U 57.550%
2Q O/U 59.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -6.550%
3Q O/U 60.550%
3Q O/U 54.550%
3Q O/U 56.550%
3Q O/U 58.550%
3Q O/U 62.550%
3Q O/U 64.550%
3Q O/U 66.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 55.550%
Bulls O/U 122.550%
Bulls 1H O/U 58.550%
Bulls 1H O/U 60.550%
Bulls 1H O/U 62.550%
Bulls 2H O/U 65.550%
Wizards O/U 134.550%
Bulls 2H O/U 57.550%
Bulls 2H O/U 59.550%
Bulls 2H O/U 61.550%
Bulls 2H O/U 63.550%
Wizards 1H O/U 58.550%
Wizards 1H O/U 60.550%
Wizards 1H O/U 62.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 57.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 59.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 61.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 63.550%
Wizards 2H O/U 65.550%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 7.550%
O/U 244.549%
1H Spread -0.549%
Trae Young: Points O/U 19.549%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.549%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 3.549%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 13.549%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 15.549%
Wizards vs. Bulls48%
1H O/U 125.548%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 9.548%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 7.548%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.548%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 2.548%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 1.548%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 24.548%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 29.548%
1H Spread -7.548%
1H Spread -5.548%
1H Spread -10.548%
1H Spread -12.548%
1H Spread -18.548%
1H Spread -6.548%
1H Spread -8.548%
1H Spread -11.548%
1H Spread -13.548%
1H Spread -15.548%
1H Spread -17.548%
1H Spread -9.548%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 17.547%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 9.547%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 34.547%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.547%
1Q O/U 63.547%
Wizards O/U 122.547%
Spread -2.546%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 14.546%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 7.546%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 9.546%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.546%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.546%
Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 1.546%
1H Spread -14.546%
1H Spread -16.546%
O/U 246.545%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 11.545%
Trae Young: Points O/U 14.545%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.545%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 15.545%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 14.545%
Trae Young: Points O/U 39.545%
Spread -1.544%
Spread -3.544%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 3.544%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 1.544%
1H Spread -1.544%
Bulls O/U 124.544%
Trae Young: Points O/U 34.543%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 1.543%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 14.543%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.543%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.543%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 5.543%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 13.543%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 0.543%
1H O/U 127.543%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.542%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 34.542%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 17.542%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 9.542%
Wizards O/U 124.542%
Spread -2.541%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 39.541%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 9.541%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 1.541%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.541%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 3.541%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 6.541%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 34.541%
1H Spread -2.541%
Spread -4.540%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.540%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 9.540%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 9.540%
Spread -3.539%
O/U 249.539%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 19.539%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 17.539%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.539%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.539%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.539%
1Q Spread -1.539%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 7.538%
2Q Spread -1.538%
Bulls O/U 126.538%
Spread -4.537%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 22.536%
1H O/U 129.536%
Spread -6.535%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 14.535%
1H Spread -3.535%
4Q O/U 59.535%
O/U 252.534%
Spread -5.534%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 3.534%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.534%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 6.534%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 9.534%
Bulls 1H O/U 64.534%
Wizards 1H O/U 64.534%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 29.533%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 12.533%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.533%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.533%
1H Spread -4.533%
Bulls O/U 128.533%
Trae Young: Points O/U 20.532%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.532%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.532%
Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 1.532%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 3.532%
4Q O/U 57.532%
Spread -6.531%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 20.531%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.531%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 2.530%
Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 1.530%
Norman Powell: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.530%
2Q O/U 63.530%
Bulls 1H O/U 66.529%
Spread -8.528%
Spread -7.528%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.528%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 14.528%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 23.528%
Bulls O/U 130.528%
Spread -9.527%
O/U 255.527%
1Q O/U 65.527%
2Q O/U 65.527%
Wizards 1H O/U 66.527%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.526%
Wizards O/U 130.526%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.525%
Spread -10.524%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.524%
Spread -9.523%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 14.523%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 19.522%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.522%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 1.522%
1H O/U 131.522%
Bulls O/U 132.522%
1H O/U 133.521%
Spread -11.520%
Trae Young: Points O/U 24.520%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.520%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 9.520%
Spread -12.519%
Wizards O/U 132.519%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 7.518%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 3.518%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 24.518%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 11.518%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 2.518%
1H O/U 135.518%
Spread -12.517%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 13.517%
1H O/U 137.517%
Bulls O/U 134.517%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 19.516%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.516%
1H O/U 139.516%
Spread -14.515%
Spread -13.514%
Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.514%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 13.514%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 9.514%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 7.514%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 3.513%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 19.513%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 5.513%
1H O/U 141.513%
Spread -15.512%
Spread -16.512%
Trae Young: Assists O/U 15.512%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 19.512%
Jalen Smith: Rebounds O/U 11.512%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.512%
Caleb Wilson: Points O/U 24.511%
Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 3.511%
Trae Young: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.511%
Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 11.511%
Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 9.511%
Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 3.511%
Spread -18.510%
Spread -17.510%
Trae Young: Points O/U 29.510%
Norman Powell: Assists O/U 3.510%
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 19.510%
Caleb Wilson: Rebounds O/U 11.510%
Jalen Smith: Points O/U 24.510%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 5.510%
Anthony Davis: Rebounds O/U 15.59%
Norman Powell: Points O/U 29.59%
Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 13.59%
Spread -20.58%
Spread -19.58%
Trae Young: Rebounds O/U 5.58%
Anthony Davis: Assists O/U 5.58%
Norman Powell: Rebounds O/U 5.58%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 29.58%
Jalen Smith: Assists O/U 3.58%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 5.58%
Kyshawn George: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
Matas Buzelis: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.58%
Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 24.57%
Caleb Wilson: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.57%
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 24.57%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.57%
Josh Giddey: 3-Pointers Made O/U 3.57%
Spread -22.56%
Spread -21.56%
Jalen Smith: 3-Pointers Made O/U 4.56%
Spread -23.55%
Spread -25.55%
Caleb Wilson: Assists O/U 5.55%
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 7.55%
Matas Buzelis: Assists O/U 5.55%
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 7.55%
Spread -24.54%
Spread -26.54%
Spread -29.53%
Spread -27.52%

Market context

The Wizards vs. Bulls prediction market currently prices this outcome at 96% YES. In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 24 at 8:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Bulls win, the market will resolve to "Bulls". If the game is postpone…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 213.5 at 96% for "Wizards vs. Bulls".

O/U 213.5 96% Other 4%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $226K.

Methodology

We track Wizards vs. Bulls across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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