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Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 100% Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 100% Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 100% Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 100% Volume: $100K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 149.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 174.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 199.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 174.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 199.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 224.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5100%
Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 4.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 5.5100%
Rashee Rice: Receptions O/U 6.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Anytime Touchdown100%
Kenneth Walker: 2+ Touchdowns100%
Ollie Gordon II: Anytime Touchdown100%
Travis Kelce: Anytime Touchdown100%
Rashee Rice: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Travis Kelce: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 15.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 17.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Completions O/U 19.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 17.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 19.5100%
Kenneth Walker: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)100%
Ollie Gordon II: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)100%
Malik Washington: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 99.5100%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 124.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 124.5100%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 149.5100%
Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5100%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Malik Washington: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Greg Dulcich: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Malik Washington: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Chris Bell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Chris Bell: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
De'Von Achane: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)50%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 224.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 249.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 249.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 274.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 49.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 59.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 69.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 79.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 89.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 79.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 89.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 9.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 19.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 69.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 2.50%
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 3.50%
De'Von Achane: Receptions O/U 4.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Travis Kelce: Receptions O/U 4.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Xavier Worthy: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Brashard Smith: Anytime Touchdown0%
Brashard Smith: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Chris Bell: Anytime Touchdown0%
Chris Bell: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Cyrus Allen: Anytime Touchdown0%
Cyrus Allen: 2+ Touchdowns0%
De'Von Achane: Anytime Touchdown0%
De'Von Achane: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Emmett Johnson: Anytime Touchdown0%
Emmett Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Greg Dulcich: Anytime Touchdown0%
Greg Dulcich: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jake Briningstool: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jake Briningstool: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jalen Royals: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jalen Royals: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jalen Tolbert: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jalen Tolbert: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jared Wiley: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jared Wiley: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Justin Joly: Anytime Touchdown0%
Justin Joly: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown0%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Malik Washington: Anytime Touchdown0%
Malik Washington: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Malik Willis: Anytime Touchdown0%
Malik Willis: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Nikko Remigio: Anytime Touchdown0%
Nikko Remigio: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Noah Gray: Anytime Touchdown0%
Noah Gray: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Ollie Gordon II: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Patrick Mahomes: Anytime Touchdown0%
Patrick Mahomes: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Rashee Rice: Anytime Touchdown0%
Rashee Rice: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Ryan Miller: Anytime Touchdown0%
Ryan Miller: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Seydou Traore: Anytime Touchdown0%
Seydou Traore: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Travis Kelce: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Tyquan Thornton: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tyquan Thornton: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Will Kacmarek: Anytime Touchdown0%
Will Kacmarek: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Xavier Worthy: Anytime Touchdown0%
Xavier Worthy: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Xavier Worthy: Longest Reception O/U 19.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 27.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 31.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Attempts O/U 35.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Completions O/U 21.50%
Brashard Smith: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Chris Bell: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Cyrus Allen: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Emmett Johnson: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Greg Dulcich: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Jake Briningstool: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Jalen Royals: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Jalen Tolbert: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Jared Wiley: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Justin Joly: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Malik Washington: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Malik Willis: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Nikko Remigio: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Noah Gray: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Patrick Mahomes: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Rashee Rice: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Ryan Miller: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Seydou Traore: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Travis Kelce: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Tyquan Thornton: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Will Kacmarek: Team First TD (Miami Dolphins)0%
Xavier Worthy: Team First TD (Kansas City Chiefs)0%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 274.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 299.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Passing Yards O/U 324.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
De'Von Achane: Rushing Yards O/U 39.50%
Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.50%
Emmett Johnson: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 99.50%
Kenneth Walker: Rushing Yards O/U 109.50%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 59.50%
Malik Willis: Rushing Yards O/U 69.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 14.50%
Patrick Mahomes: Rushing Yards O/U 24.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
De'Von Achane: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 79.50%
Travis Kelce: Receiving Yards O/U 89.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
Jalen Tolbert: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 19.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Kevin Coleman Jr.: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Malik Willis: Passing Yards O/U 299.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Kenneth Walker: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Tyquan Thornton: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, chiefs vs. dolphins - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Chiefs and Dolphins, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Chiefs vs. Dolphins - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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