Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 88% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 81% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 78% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 74% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 72% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 69% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 65% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 61% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 61% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 57% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 56% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 56% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 54% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 52% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Roschon Johnson: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Sam Roush: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Saquon Barkley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Zavion Thomas: 2+ Touchdowns | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 50% |
| Dallas Goedert: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Hollywood Brown: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 50% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 49% |
| Dallas Goedert: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 49% |
| Caleb Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 48% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 124.5 | 48% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Dallas Goedert: Anytime Touchdown | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 47% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5 | 47% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 47% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 47% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 47% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 47% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 45% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 23.5 | 45% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 45% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 44% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 44% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 15.5 | 43% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 43% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 43% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 43% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 43% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 42% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 42% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Anytime Touchdown | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 41% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 41% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 4.5 | 41% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 40% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 40% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 39% |
| Jalen Hurts: Anytime Touchdown | 39% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 39% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 38% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 38% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 38% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 37% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 0.5 | 37% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 36% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 36% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 35% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 35% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 35% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 34% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 34% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 34% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 34% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 33% |
| DeVonta Smith: Anytime Touchdown | 33% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 33% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 32% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 32% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 32% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 32% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 32% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 31% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 30% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 29% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 29% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 | 28% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 28% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 28% |
| Kyle Monangai: Anytime Touchdown | 28% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 17.5 | 28% |
| Jalen Hurts: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 28% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 28% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5 | 28% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Luther Burden III: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Rome Odunze: Longest Reception O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5 | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Completions O/U 19.5 | 27% |
| Britain Covey: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Colston Loveland: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| D'Andre Swift: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Darius Cooper: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Johnny Mundt: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Kyle Monangai: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Makai Lemon: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Sam Roush: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Saquon Barkley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Tank Bigsby: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Will Shipley: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Zavion Thomas: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 27% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 27% |
| Elijah Moore: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 27% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 27% |
| Hollywood Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| DeVonta Smith: Team First TD (Philadelphia Eagles) | 26% |
| Jahdae Walker: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Luther Burden III: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Rome Odunze: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Roschon Johnson: Team First TD (Chicago Bears) | 26% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 26% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 26% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 26% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 26% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 26% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 26% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 | 25% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5 | 25% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 25% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 25% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 25% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 14.5 | 25% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 24% |
| Tank Bigsby: 2+ Touchdowns | 24% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 24% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 44.5 | 24% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 24% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 23% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 23% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 44.5 | 23% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5 | 23% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 22% |
| Rome Odunze: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 22% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 34.5 | 22% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 | 21% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 21% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 21% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 21% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 20% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Anytime Touchdown | 20% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 6.5 | 20% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 1.5 | 20% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 19% |
| Colston Loveland: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Luther Burden III: Anytime Touchdown | 19% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 19% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 249.5 | 18% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 18% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 18% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 18% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5 | 17% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 16% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 15% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5 | 15% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 15% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 39.5 | 14% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 14% |
| Rome Odunze: Anytime Touchdown | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 14% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 14% |
| Caleb Williams: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5 | 13% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 13% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 13% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 7.5 | 13% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | 13% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 24.5 | 13% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5 | 12% |
| Rome Odunze: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 12% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 274.5 | 12% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receiving Yards O/U 109.5 | 12% |
| Luther Burden III: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 12% |
| Tank Bigsby: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Makai Lemon: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 11% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 11% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 24.5 | 11% |
| Cole Kmet: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5 | 11% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 11% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Colston Loveland: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| Makai Lemon: Anytime Touchdown | 10% |
| Saquon Barkley: 2+ Touchdowns | 10% |
| Saquon Barkley: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 10% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5 | 10% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 2.5 | 10% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5 | 9% |
| Dontayvion Wicks: 2+ Touchdowns | 9% |
| DeVonta Smith: Receptions O/U 8.5 | 9% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5 | 9% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 8% |
| D'Andre Swift: 2+ Touchdowns | 8% |
| Kalif Raymond: Anytime Touchdown | 8% |
| Jalen Hurts: Rushing Yards O/U 49.5 | 8% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5 | 7% |
| Cole Kmet: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Johnny Mundt: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Tank Bigsby: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Will Shipley: Anytime Touchdown | 7% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 299.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 7% |
| D'Andre Swift: Rushing Yards O/U 109.5 | 7% |
| Kalif Raymond: Receptions O/U 5.5 | 7% |
| Kyle Monangai: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5 | 7% |
| Saquon Barkley: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5 | 7% |
| Darius Cooper: Anytime Touchdown | 6% |
| Colston Loveland: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | 6% |
| Cole Kmet: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 6% |
| D'Andre Swift: Receptions O/U 4.5 | 6% |
| Jalen Hurts: 2+ Touchdowns | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Yards O/U 324.5 | 5% |
| Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5 | 5% |
| Johnny Mundt: Receptions O/U 3.5 | 5% |
| Jalen Hurts: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.5 | 4% |
| DeVonta Smith: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Jahdae Walker: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Kyle Monangai: 2+ Touchdowns | 3% |
| Elijah Moore: Anytime Touchdown | 3% |
| Britain Covey: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Colston Loveland: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| E.J. Jenkins: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Makai Lemon: 2+ Touchdowns | 2% |
| Roschon Johnson: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Sam Roush: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Zavion Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 2% |
| Cole Kmet: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Kalif Raymond: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Luther Burden III: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Rome Odunze: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Will Shipley: 2+ Touchdowns | 1% |
| Britain Covey: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Darius Cooper: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| E.J. Jenkins: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Jahdae Walker: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Johnny Mundt: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
| Elijah Moore: 2+ Touchdowns | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 88% YES probability for Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Eagles and Bears, scheduled for September 28 at 8:15 PM ET.
Methodology
We track Eagles vs. Bears - Player Props across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
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