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Steelers vs. Bills

Live odds for "Steelers vs. Bills" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

1Q Moneyline 100% O/U 15.5 99% O/U 17.5 99% Steelers O/U 11.5 99% Volume: $261K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 27 Aug 2026
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Steelers vs. Bills

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
1Q Moneyline100%
O/U 15.599%
O/U 17.599%
Steelers O/U 11.599%
1Q O/U 4.599%
1Q O/U 7.599%
1Q O/U 10.599%
1Q O/U 13.599%
Bills 1H O/U 8.599%
Steelers 1H O/U 6.599%
Steelers 1H O/U 10.599%
O/U 23.595%
1H O/U 18.595%
O/U 29.591%
1H O/U 17.591%
O/U 25.590%
O/U 34.587%
O/U 35.586%
O/U 33.585%
O/U 36.582%
O/U 37.580%
1Q O/U 1.580%
O/U 19.577%
O/U 21.577%
O/U 27.577%
O/U 31.576%
1H O/U 19.576%
Steelers vs. Bills64%
O/U 41.562%
O/U 39.559%
O/U 45.552%
Bills O/U 13.551%
Bills O/U 18.550%
Steelers O/U 17.550%
Bills O/U 19.550%
Steelers O/U 16.550%
O/U 43.550%
O/U 49.550%
Bills O/U 16.550%
Bills O/U 22.550%
Bills O/U 25.550%
Steelers O/U 14.550%
Steelers O/U 20.550%
Steelers O/U 23.550%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Steelers by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Bills by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Bills by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Bills by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Bills by 21+50%
Steelers Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Bills Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Steelers vs. Bills: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.550%
Steelers vs. Bills: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
1H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -1.550%
Bills 1H O/U 10.550%
Bills 1H O/U 12.550%
Steelers 1H O/U 8.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H O/U 10.550%
2H O/U 13.550%
2H O/U 16.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
Exact Margin: Tie49%
O/U 47.540%
Spread -1.539%
Spread -3.538%
Spread -2.534%
Spread -0.526%
Spread -4.526%
1H Spread -2.526%
O/U 51.525%
O/U 55.525%
1Q Spread -2.523%
O/U 53.521%
1Q Spread -0.517%
1Q Spread -1.514%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Steelers vs. Bills. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 27 at 7:00PM ET: If Steelers wins, the market will resolve to "Steelers". If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If the game is postponed, th…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q Moneyline at 100% for "Steelers vs. Bills".

1Q Moneyline 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $261K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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