Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Aberdeen and Hearts are level on the pitch, but Polymarket has this **More Markets** contract at **0% YES** today, so the market is effectively pricing no remaining path to settlement before the window closes at 2026-08-01T16:30:00Z. On Polymarket, that means users are holding or buying USDC-settled conditional tokens on Polygon against a market definition that has not yet resolved in the platform’s feed, rather than betting the abstract match result itself.

For context, the fixture itself is genuinely close: recent head-to-head records are mixed, with FootyStats showing Aberdeen ahead 17-15 in 42 meetings, while other databases put Hearts slightly ahead overall, and both clubs have produced a run of tight games with several draws in the last five to ten meetings.[2][11][15][18] The most recent listed league meeting finished Aberdeen 1-0 Hearts in November 2025, which fits the broader pattern of low-margin outcomes rather than a one-sided rivalry.[6][7]

For traders, the practical catalysts are not just the final score but whether the specific “more markets” outcome is fully defined by the market rules before settlement, plus any late squad or schedule updates that affect whether the event is officially recognised within the window.[1][14][17] Because the match is scheduled for 1 August at 12:30 PM ET, the live trigger is whether the underlying data source posts a completed result and whether the contract’s condition on Polygon can be resolved cleanly before the close of the settlement window.[1][12][14]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.