St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

Polymarket is pricing this St Johnstone v Kilmarnock contract at **0% YES** today, which on a Polymarket book means the market is not assigning any meaningful chance to the “more markets” settlement being triggered on the listed Scottish Premiership fixture. Because the contract settles through USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, the key question for traders is not the match itself in the abstract, but whether the underlying event and the market’s specific settlement wording are satisfied by the time the window closes.

Historical framing is mixed rather than one-sided. St Johnstone and Kilmarnock have met many times with a fairly even long-run balance in the head-to-head, but recent results have tilted towards Kilmarnock: BBC notes St Johnstone have lost four of their last six league games against them, including the last two, while ESPN’s recent matchup list shows Kilmarnock winning 3-1 in February 2025 and 2-0 in May 2025.[5][16] That kind of split matters on Polymarket because a zero-priced contract often reflects either a genuine low-probability reading or a settlement-structure issue where traders see little ambiguity in the outcome path.

The catalysts to watch are basic but decisive: final team news, any fixture change, and whether the match proceeds exactly as scheduled under the stated competition and kick-off conditions.[4][19] In practice, the on-chain price can move only if there is a credible route to settlement, so announcements from the clubs, the Scottish Premiership, or official match data feeds are the main dependencies. If the game is delayed, abandoned, or otherwise deviates from the reference event, the conditional-token payout path can change materially even when the football itself has not.[4][19]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.