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Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

NK Radomlje (-1.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $713K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
NK Radomlje (-1.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
Both Teams to Score100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Mura Murska Sobota O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje O/U 1.5100%
NK Radomlje O/U 2.5100%
NK Radomlje 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 2.5100%
Mura Murska Sobota 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
NK Radomlje 2nd Half O/U 1.5100%
NK Radomlje (-2.5)1%
Mura Murska Sobota (-1.5)0%
Mura Murska Sobota (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score in First Half0%
1st Half O/U 1.50%
1st Half O/U 2.50%
Mura Murska Sobota O/U 1.50%
Mura Murska Sobota O/U 2.50%
Mura Murska Sobota 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Mura Murska Sobota 1st Half O/U 1.50%
NK Radomlje 1st Half O/U 1.50%
Mura Murska Sobota 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

NK Mura will host NK Radomlje in Slovenia's top division on 10 August at 11:00 AM ET. The fixture falls within the PrvaLiga's regular season, and Polymarket currently prices additional markets around this match at 0% YES, indicating either minimal liquidity, settlement ambiguity, or trader indifference toward the specific conditional contract structure. On-chain pricing reflects USDC denominations settled via Polygon, where conditional tokens tied to this game's outcome remain illiquid relative to headline match-winner markets.

Historical precedent suggests Slovenian league fixtures generate sparse derivative-market activity outside core win/draw/loss outcomes. Comparable PrvaLiga matches from prior seasons show that ancillary markets—such as team-specific performance thresholds or combined statistical conditions—often fail to attract meaningful volume, leaving them priced at extremes. The 0% reading here likely reflects either a settlement condition that traders view as technically impossible or a lack of clarity around what "more markets" encompasses in the contract's definition.

Traders should monitor official PrvaLiga fixture confirmations and any last-minute venue or scheduling changes through the Slovenian Football Association's announcements. Team news regarding injuries or suspensions for Mura or Radomlje typically emerges 48–72 hours pre-match. The conditional token structure's liquidity will depend on whether Polymarket clarifies the settlement criteria; without explicit definition, the market may remain dormant until resolution approaches or the condition is formally specified on-chain.

Methodology

We track Mura Murska Sobota vs. NK Radomlje - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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