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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 86% CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.5 80% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 76% 2nd Half O/U 1.5 63% Volume: $177K Liquidity: $396K Closes: 13 Aug 2026
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CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
86% 14% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
86% 14% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.586%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 0.580%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
2nd Half O/U 1.563%
O/U 1.556%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half55%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
CR Vasco da Gama 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Club Olimpia 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Club Olimpia 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
1st Half O/U 0.544%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 1.543%
Club Olimpia O/U 0.541%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 0.538%
Both Teams to Score33%
Club Olimpia O/U 2.531%
CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)30%
O/U 2.530%
CR Vasco da Gama O/U 2.517%
Club Olimpia 1st Half O/U 0.517%
O/U 3.513%
CR Vasco da Gama (-2.5)12%
1st Half O/U 1.510%
Club Olimpia O/U 1.59%
CR Vasco da Gama 1st Half O/U 1.58%
Both Teams to Score in First Half7%
O/U 4.54%
Club Olimpia (-1.5)2%
1st Half O/U 2.52%
Club Olimpia (-2.5)1%
O/U 5.51%
Club Olimpia 1st Half O/U 1.51%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 86% probability to cr vasco da gama vs. club olimpia - more markets. More markets for the Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for August 13 at 6:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track CR Vasco da Gama vs. Club Olimpia - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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