AIK vs. Orgryte IS - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

AIK host Örgryte in Allsvenskan, and Polymarket is pricing the “More Markets” contract at **0% YES** right now, which implies the crowd assigns no chance that any extra listed condition will resolve affirmatively before settlement. On Polymarket, the position is backed by USDC on Polygon and represented through conditional tokens, so the market price reflects how traders are valuing the contract’s specific rules rather than a general view of the football result.

That is notable because the match itself has broadly been treated as an AIK-leaning fixture by outside previews, with most models and bookmakers favouring a home win and several projecting a relatively low-to-mid scoring game. Comparable pre-match markets in football often stay close to zero until the final team news or a clearly defined qualifying event appears, then move sharply if the contract wording hinges on something concrete such as a goal threshold, a named player market, or an official line-up condition. A 0% print usually means the crowd sees the required outcome as either already ruled out or extremely unlikely under the market definition.

For traders, the key catalysts are the official starting line-ups, any late injury or suspension updates, and the exact mechanics of the related market set, because “More Markets” contracts can depend on separate sub-markets rather than the final score alone. The fixture is scheduled at Strawberry Arena, with previews listing kick-off at 16:30 local time, so any official club or league update before that window is the most likely source of repricing. Once the match starts, the main dependency becomes whether the underlying condition can still be verified from the live match state and resolved through the oracle feeding the conditional tokens.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.