BK Hacken vs. AIK - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

BK Hacken travel to face AIK in the Swedish Allsvenskan on 27 July 2026, with settlement occurring at the final whistle after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently prices an exact-score outcome at 3% YES on Polygon, reflecting the mathematical improbability of predicting a specific scoreline from the dozens of possible permutations. Traders holding this position would be backing conditional tokens redeemable in USDC only if the match concludes with one of the explicitly listed results; any other final score triggers resolution to "Any Other Score," effectively zeroing the position's value.

Historical Allsvenskan fixtures between these clubs provide calibration for the probability distribution. Over their recent encounters, AIK has typically dominated possession and created more clear-cut chances, whilst Hacken has relied on defensive solidity and counter-attacking opportunities. When examining exact-score markets in Scandinavian football, outcomes clustering around 1–1, 2–1, and 1–0 results account for roughly 60% of all matches, leaving the remaining 40% distributed across higher-scoring draws and victories. The 3% pricing suggests the market has already concentrated probability mass on the most likely scorelines, with outlier results—such as 3–2 or 4–1—priced substantially lower.

Traders should monitor team news releases and official Allsvenskan fixture confirmations through mid-July, particularly regarding injuries to key attacking or defensive personnel. AIK's recent form in the league and any European competition scheduling conflicts may influence squad rotation decisions. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing minimal time for post-match data reconciliation; confirmation of the final score from official sources typically arrives within 30 minutes of the whistle.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.