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UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by submission? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 53% Fight won by KO/TKO? 49% O/U 2.5 Rounds 46% Volume: $314K Liquidity: $3K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by submission?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds53%
Fight won by KO/TKO?49%
O/U 2.5 Rounds46%
Todorovic to win by KO/TKO?25%
Valentin to win by KO/TKO?25%
O/U 1.5 Rounds13%
Fight to Go the Distance?1%
Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: duško todorovic vs. robert valentin (middleweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Duško Todorovic" if Duško Todorovic is officially declared the winner of the fight against Robert Valentin at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1,…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by submission? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by submission? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $314K.

Methodology

This page reviews UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade UFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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