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UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 Rounds 63% Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes 59% O/U 1.5 Rounds 45% Fight won by KO/TKO? 40% Volume: $130K Liquidity: $86K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.5 Rounds63%
Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes59%
O/U 1.5 Rounds45%
Fight won by KO/TKO?40%
Turner to win by KO/TKO?38%
Fernandes to win by KO/TKO?36%
Fight won by submission?35%
Fight to Go the Distance?33%
O/U 2.5 Rounds30%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 63% YES probability for UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims). This market will resolve to "Jalin Turner" if Jalin Turner is officially declared the winner of the fight against Kauê Fernandes at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 0.5 Rounds at 63% for "UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)".

O/U 0.5 Rounds 63% Other 37%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $130K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Related Topics

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