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UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Nallo to win by KO/TKO? 100% O/U 0.5 Rounds 100% Ends before Round 3? 100% Volume: $256K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Fight won by KO/TKO?100%
Nallo to win by KO/TKO?100%
O/U 0.5 Rounds100%
Ends before Round 3?100%
Nallo in Round 2100%
Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo0%
Fight to Go the Distance?0%
Landwehr to win by KO/TKO?0%
Fight won by submission?0%
O/U 1.5 Rounds0%
O/U 2.5 Rounds0%
Fight won by decision?0%
Ends before Round 2?0%
Landwehr in Round 10%
Landwehr in Round 20%
Landwehr in Round 30%
Nallo in Round 10%
Nallo in Round 30%
Decision or Draw0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to ufc fight night: nate landwehr vs. mandel nallo (lightweight, main card). This market will resolve to "Nate Landwehr" if Nate Landwehr is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mandel Nallo at UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott, scheduled for October 17, 2026.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Fight won by KO/TKO? at 100% for "UFC Fight Night: Nate Landwehr vs. Mandel Nallo (Lightweight, Main Card)".

Fight won by KO/TKO? 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $256K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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