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Armenia vs. Latvia - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Armenia vs. Latvia - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 92% Armenia O/U 0.5 80% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 76% O/U 1.5 72% Volume: $99K Liquidity: $469K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Armenia vs. Latvia - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.592%
Armenia O/U 0.580%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
O/U 1.572%
1st Half O/U 0.567%
Latvia O/U 0.562%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 0.559%
Both Teams to Score51%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Latvia (-4.5)50%
2nd Half O/U 3.550%
2nd Half O/U 4.550%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Latvia 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Latvia 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
Latvia O/U 4.548%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 3.548%
Armenia O/U 1.546%
O/U 2.545%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 2.545%
2nd Half O/U 1.542%
Latvia 2nd Half O/U 0.542%
1st Half O/U 4.538%
Armenia O/U 4.538%
Latvia 1st Half O/U 0.533%
1st Half O/U 1.530%
Armenia (-1.5)26%
Armenia O/U 5.526%
Latvia O/U 1.525%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
O/U 3.524%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 1.523%
Latvia 1st Half O/U 2.521%
Latvia 1st Half O/U 3.521%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 1.520%
Armenia O/U 2.519%
Latvia 1st Half O/U 1.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
2nd Half O/U 2.517%
Armenia (-5.5)17%
Latvia 2nd Half O/U 1.511%
Armenia (-2.5)10%
O/U 4.510%
1st Half O/U 2.510%
1st Half O/U 3.59%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 2.58%
Latvia (-1.5)7%
Latvia O/U 2.56%
Armenia O/U 3.56%
O/U 5.54%
Armenia (-3.5)3%
Latvia O/U 3.53%
Latvia (-2.5)2%
Armenia (-4.5)2%
Latvia (-3.5)1%
Latvia (-5.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.51%
Latvia O/U 5.51%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 92% chance of armenia vs. latvia - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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