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Armenia vs. Montenegro - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Armenia vs. Montenegro - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 93% Montenegro O/U 0.5 76% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 76% O/U 1.5 73% Volume: $230K Liquidity: $795K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Armenia vs. Montenegro - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
93% 7% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
93% 7% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.593%
Montenegro O/U 0.576%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
O/U 1.573%
Armenia O/U 0.572%
1st Half O/U 0.569%
Both Teams to Score55%
Montenegro 2nd Half O/U 0.553%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Armenia (-4.5)50%
Armenia (-5.5)50%
Montenegro (-5.5)50%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 2.550%
Armenia O/U 4.549%
Armenia O/U 5.549%
Montenegro O/U 5.549%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Montenegro 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Montenegro 1st Half O/U 2.548%
2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 3.548%
Montenegro 2nd Half O/U 2.548%
Montenegro 2nd Half O/U 3.548%
O/U 2.547%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 2.547%
Montenegro 1st Half O/U 0.545%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 0.542%
2nd Half O/U 1.542%
Montenegro O/U 1.540%
Armenia O/U 1.535%
1st Half O/U 1.531%
O/U 3.526%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half25%
Both Teams to Score in First Half19%
Montenegro (-1.5)17%
Montenegro 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
2nd Half O/U 2.516%
Armenia (-1.5)14%
Montenegro O/U 2.514%
Armenia 2nd Half O/U 1.514%
1st Half O/U 4.514%
O/U 4.512%
Armenia O/U 2.512%
1st Half O/U 2.511%
Montenegro 1st Half O/U 1.511%
Montenegro (-4.5)11%
Armenia 1st Half O/U 1.510%
Montenegro (-2.5)6%
Armenia (-2.5)4%
O/U 5.54%
Montenegro O/U 3.54%
1st Half O/U 3.53%
Armenia O/U 3.53%
Montenegro (-3.5)2%
Armenia (-3.5)1%
O/U 6.51%
O/U 7.51%
Montenegro O/U 4.51%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 93% probability to armenia vs. montenegro - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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