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Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 0.5 95% Sweden O/U 0.5 82% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 82% O/U 1.5 81% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $721K Closes: 28 Sept 2026
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Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
95% 5% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
95% 5% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.595%
Sweden O/U 0.582%
2nd Half O/U 0.582%
O/U 1.581%
Poland O/U 0.575%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
Both Teams to Score63%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.561%
O/U 2.557%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.553%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Sweden (-4.5)50%
Poland (-4.5)50%
Sweden (-5.5)50%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Sweden O/U 1.549%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 3.549%
Poland 1st Half O/U 2.548%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 2.547%
2nd Half O/U 3.547%
2nd Half O/U 4.547%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 3.547%
Poland 1st Half O/U 0.544%
Poland O/U 5.542%
1st Half O/U 4.541%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
Poland O/U 1.538%
O/U 3.535%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half32%
Poland 1st Half O/U 3.527%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 1.524%
Sweden (-1.5)23%
Both Teams to Score in First Half23%
Sweden O/U 2.523%
2nd Half O/U 2.523%
Poland O/U 4.523%
O/U 4.518%
Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.517%
Poland 2nd Half O/U 1.516%
Sweden O/U 5.516%
1st Half O/U 2.514%
Poland O/U 2.514%
Poland (-1.5)13%
Poland 1st Half O/U 1.512%
Sweden (-2.5)10%
Poland (-5.5)10%
O/U 5.58%
Sweden O/U 3.58%
Sweden 2nd Half O/U 2.57%
1st Half O/U 3.55%
Poland (-2.5)4%
Poland O/U 3.54%
Sweden (-3.5)3%
O/U 6.53%
Sweden O/U 4.53%
Poland (-3.5)1%
O/U 7.51%
O/U 8.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 95% probability to sweden vs. poland - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 2:45 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Sweden vs. Poland - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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