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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 73% Map 1 Winner 69% Map 2 Winner 67% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 61% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $320K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
73% 27% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
73% 27% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner73%
Map 1 Winner69%
Map 2 Winner67%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.561%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.560%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)55%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)52%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.552%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.551%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)49%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)45%
O/U 2.5 Games44%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, valorant: 100 thieves vs krü esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega stands at 73% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Valorant match between 100 Thieves and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 24 at 8:00PM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Ame… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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