🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen the market →

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5) 90% Volume: $275K Liquidity: $591K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
Open live market →
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+3.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-4.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-5.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-7.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+7.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-6.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+6.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-9.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+9.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-8.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+8.5)90%
Match Winner67%
O/U 2.5 Games53%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-2.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Winner47%
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)47%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs 100 Thieves (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-3.5) vs 100 Thieves (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-11.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+11.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.510%
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between 100 Thieves and Leviatán Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET.…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VC… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to PolyGram.

See all markets →