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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 58% Match Winner 57% Map 2 Winner 54% Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) 50% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $291K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 58% 42% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 58% 42% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner58%
Match Winner57%
Map 2 Winner54%
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games49%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Evil Geniuses (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)48%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+2.5)48%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)31%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.521%

Market context

Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In — current market-implied probability: 58%. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 2 match between Cloud9 and Evil Geniuses in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. This market…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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