Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 98% |
| Map 2 Winner | 96% |
| Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) | 93% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-4.5) vs GIANTX (+4.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-6.5) vs GIANTX (+6.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-5.5) vs GIANTX (+5.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-7.5) vs GIANTX (+7.5) | 50% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5 | 50% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 | 44% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | 30% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 28% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 27% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 5% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.5 | 1% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fnatic (-3.5) vs GIANTX (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: GIANTX (-2.5) vs Fnatic (+2.5) | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: fnatic vs giantx (bo3) - vct emea group omega. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between Fnatic and GIANTX in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 16 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fnatic"…
Methodology
This page reviews Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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