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Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) 100% Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5) 100% Volume: $222K Liquidity: $688K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)100%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 16.5100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.590%
Map 4 Winner50%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 4 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 4 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 5 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-2.5) vs FUT Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-4.5) vs FUT Esports (+4.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5)10%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)10%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map Handicap: FUT (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)1%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Map 3 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 3.5 Games0%
O/U 4.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-8.5) vs FUT Esports (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FUT Esports (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-5.5) vs FUT Esports (+5.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-6.5) vs FUT Esports (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-8.5) vs FUT Esports (+8.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Liquid (-9.5) vs FUT Esports (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs. This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between FUT Esports and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

We track Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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