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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5) 100% Volume: $341K Liquidity: $410K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.575%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)61%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.551%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-3.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-2.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
O/U 2.5 Games40%
Map 2 Winner38%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-6.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+6.5)26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-7.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+7.5)26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)26%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+4.5)25%
Match Winner13%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-5.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+5.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: KRÜ Esports (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to valorant: krü esports vs g2 esports (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 group omega. This market refers to the Valorant match between KRÜ Esports and G2 Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "KRÜ Esp…

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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