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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 90% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Volume: $292K Liquidity: $364K Closes: 7 Jul 2026
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Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.590%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.590%
Map 2 Winner82%
O/U 2.5 Games61%
Match Winner57%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.552%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map Handicap: AG.AL (-1.5) vs MIBR LOS (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)41%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-2.5) vs AG.AL International (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-4.5) vs AG.AL International (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: AG.AL International (-2.5) vs MIBR LOS (+2.5)10%
Map Handicap: MIBR LOS (-1.5) vs AG.AL International (+1.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR LOS (-3.5) vs AG.AL International (+3.5)1%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 28.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 29.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D. This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between MIBR LOS and AG.AL International in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for July 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "M…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: MIBR LOS vs AG.AL International (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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