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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Five-platform snapshot of "Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 62% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $234K Liquidity: $570K Closes: 25 Sept 2026
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Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
62% 38% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
62% 38% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.562%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 1 Winner50%
Map 2 Winner50%
Match Winner50%
O/U 2.5 Games50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.539%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)39%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)39%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)39%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.537%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)37%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)37%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Nongshim RedForce (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)37%
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+1.5)27%
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)25%

Market context

The Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D prediction market currently prices this outcome at 62% YES. This market refers to the Valorant match between Nongshim RedForce and NRG in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nongshi…

Methodology

This page reviews Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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